James Carville Makes Major Midterm Prediction for Democrats

James Carville told MS NOW’s “The Beat” that Democrats will likely flip seven Senate seats and take the majority in November.

“Labor Day is kind of close to generally where you end up on election day,” he said. “And when you look at the first-term midterms, I mean, Trump got really shellacked. And statistically he is more known, and more opposed, less popular now than he was going into those midterms.”

He compared the moment to 2018. “You knew we were going to have a good year in 18, and then it was maybe a little bit better than anticipated. I think this is going to be bigger.”

Carville said people he trusts tell him eight Senate seats are in play. “I can’t imagine if we don’t win at least seven of them. Usually when it tips, it tips in one party’s favor.”

Then came the prediction. “I’ll sit here right now and say, I think the Democrats are going to be in the majority in the United States Senate on January 3. I just flat believe that.”

He added the caveat that undercuts the certainty. “Now you know, I’ve flat believed that Harris was going to win and I was flat wrong. I could be wrong again.”

On the current map, he said, “everything I see and I look at the polls, maybe we are one point down in one of the eight.”

The clip is a forecast, not a count. Carville is selling a wave. He also sold 2024.